Wednesday, November 20, 2024

4614 - The SUN'S SOLAR CYCLES?

 

-  4614 -  The SUN'S SOLAR CYCLES?    We now know that the Sun is governed by its powerful magnetic fields, and as these fields cycle through their changes, the Sun becomes more active. Right now the Sun is at its solar maximum, a time of increased activity.


---------------------------------------------   4614  -  The SUN'S SOLAR CYCLES?

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-    October 18, 2024, the Sun has reached its Solar Maximum and it could last for one year.  For most of human history, the Sun appeared stable going about its business fusing hydrogen into helium beyond our awareness and helping Earth remain habitable. But in our modern technological age, that facade fell away.

-

-    Solar Maximum is a phase of the cycle, our star is now exhibiting maximum activity. The Sun’s intense magnetic fields produce more sunspots and solar flares than at any other time in its    11-year cycle.

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-    The Solar Maximum is all based on the Sun’s magnetic fields. These fields are measured in Gauss units, which describe magnetic flux density. The Sun’s poles measure about 1 to 2 gauss, but sunspots are much higher at about 3,000 gauss. (Earth is only 0.25 to 0.65 gauss at its surface.) Since the magnetic field is so much stronger where sunspots appear, they inhibit convective heating from deeper inside the Sun. As a result, sunspots appear as dark patches.

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-   Sunspots are visual indicators of the Sun’s 11-year cycle.  During solar maximum, the number of sunspots, and therefore, the amount of solar activity, increases.  This increase in activity provides an opportunity to learn about our closest star, but,  also causes real effects at Earth and throughout our solar system.

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-  In May 2024, the Sun launched multiple CMEs. As the magnetic fields and charged particles reached Earth, they triggered the strongest geomagnetic storm in 200 decades. These created colorful aurorae that were visible much further from the poles than usual.   These aurorae were likely among the strongest displays in the last 500 years.

-

-    Scientists know the Sun is at its solar maximum. But it lasts for an entire year. They won’t know when its activity peaks until after they’ve watched it for months and its activity has declined.

-

-    Each cycle is different, making it difficult to label peak solar activity. Different peaks have different durations and have higher or lower peaks than others.   Understanding the Sun’s cycle is important because it creates space weather.

-

-     During solar maximum, the increased sunspots and flares also mean more coronal mass ejections (CMEs.) CMEs can strike Earth, and when they do, they can trigger aurorae and cause geomagnetic storms. CMEs, which are blobs of hot plasma, can also affect satellites, communications, and even electrical grids.

-

-    During the solar maximum, the Sun produces an average of three CMEs every day, while it drops to one CME every five days during the solar minimum. The CMEs’ effect on satellites causes the most concern. In 2003, satellites experienced 70 different types of failures. The failures ranged from erroneous signals in a satellite’s electronics to the destruction of electrical components. The solar storm that occurred in 2003 was deemed responsible for 46 of those 70 failures.

-

-   CMEs are also a hazard for astronauts orbiting Earth. The increased radiation poses a health risk, and during storms, astronauts seek safety in the most shielded part of the ISS, Russia’s Service Module.

-

-   Galileo and other astronomers noticed sunspots hundreds of years ago but didn’t know exactly what they were. In a 1612 pamphlet titled “Letters on Sunspots,” Galileo wrote ‘The sun, turning on its axis, carries them around without necessarily showing us the same spots, or in the same order, or having the same shape.’ This contrasted with others’ views on the spots, some of which suggested they were natural satellites of the Sun.

-

-   We’ve known about the Sun’s magnetic fields for 200 hundred years, though at first, scientists didn’t know the magnetism was coming from the Sun. In 1724, an English geophysicist noticed that his compass was behaving strangely and was deflected from magnetic north throughout the day. In 1882, other scientists correlated these magnetic effects with increased sunspots.

-

-   In recent decades, we’ve learned much more about our stellar companion thanks to spacecraft dedicated to studying it. NASA and the ESA launched the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) in 1995, and NASA launched the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) in 2010. In 2011, we got our first 360-degree view of the Sun thanks to NASA’s two Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) spacecraft. In 2019, NASA launched the Parker Solar Probe, which also happens to be humanity’s fastest spacecraft.

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-    Our understanding of the Sun and its cycles is far more complete now. The current cycle, Cycle 25, is the 25th one since 1755.   Scientists use sunspots to track solar cycle progress; the dark spots are associated with solar activity, often as the origins for giant explosions—such as solar flares or coronal mass ejections—that can spew light, energy, and solar material out into space.

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-    Solar Cycle 25 sunspot activity has slightly exceeded expectations.  The most powerful flare so far in Cycle 25 was on October 3rd, when the Sun emitted an X9 class flare. But scientists anticipate more flares and activity to come. There can be significantly powerful storms even in the cycle’s declining phase, though they’re not as common.

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-    On October 3, 2024, the Sun emitted a strong solar flare.    This solar flare is the largest of Solar Cycle 25 and is classified as an X9.0 flare. X-class denotes the most intense flares, while the number provides more information about its strength.

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-     The Sun’s 11-year cycle is just one of its cycles, nested in larger cycles. The “Gleissberg cycle” lasts between 80 to 90 years and modulates the 11-year cycle. The “de Vries cycle” or “Suess cycle” lasts between 200 and 210 years, and the “Hallstatt cycle” lasts about 2,300 years. Both of these cycles contribute to long-term solar variation.

-

-    However, even with all we know about the Sun, there are big gaps in our knowledge. The Sun’s magnetic poles switch during the 11-year cycle, and scientists aren’t sure why.  There’s a lot more to learn about the Sun, but we won’t run out of time to study it any time soon. It’s in the middle of its 10-billion-year lifetime and will be a main-sequence star for another five billion years.

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November 20, 2024           The SUN'S SOLAR CYCLES?                 4614

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--------  Comments appreciated and Pass it on to whomever is interested. ---

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--  email feedback, corrections, request for copies or Index of all reviews

---  to:  ------    jamesdetrick@comcast.net  ------  “Jim Detrick”  -----------

--------------------- ---  Wednesday, November 20, 2024  ---------------------------------

 

 

 

 

 

           

 

 

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

4611 - ASTRONOMERS WHITNESS BLACK HOLE?

 

-  4611 -    ASTRONOMERS  WHITNESS  BLACK  HOLE?  -   For the first time, astronomers see the creation of atoms.  They can measure the temperature of the matter and see the microphysics in this remote explosion.   They witnessed the titanic collision between two neutron stars that resulted in the birth of the smallest black hole ever seen and forged precious metals like gold, silver, and uranium.


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---------------------------------   4611  -  ASTRONOMERS  WHITNESS  BLACK  HOLE?

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-    The  astronomers snapshot of this violent and powerful collision, which occurred 130 million light-years away from us in the galaxy NGC 4993, was created with a range of instruments, including the Hubble Space Telescope.

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-    It will hopefully paint a picture of the "past, present, and future" of the mergers of these dense dead stars. This could reveal the origins of elements heavier than iron, which can't be forged in even the most massive stars.

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-   The collision and merger of the neutron stars results in a powerful blast of light called a "kilonova." As the wreckage of this event expands at nearly the speed of light, the kilonova illuminates its surroundings with light as bright as hundreds of millions of suns.

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-       This remarkable' explosions from colliding, dead stars could reveal the true expansion rate of the universe.   We can now see the moment where atomic nuclei and electrons are uniting in the afterglow.   We see the creation of atoms, we can measure the temperature of the matter, and we can see the microphysics in this remote explosion.

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-   We see before, during, and after the moment of birth of the atoms.   The gold in your jewelry came from the universe's most violents events.   Neutron stars are born when stars at least 8 times as massive as the sun exhaust their fuel for nuclear fusion and can no longer support themselves against their own gravity.

 

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The outer layers of these stars are blasted away in supernova explosions, leaving a stellar remnant with a mass equal to between 1 and 2 suns crushed into a diameter of around 12 miles (20 kilometers).

 

The collapse of the core forces electrons and protons together, creating a sea of particles called neutrons. This material is so dense that a mere sugar cube's worth of neutron star matter would weigh 1 billion tons if brought to Earth. That's about the same as cramming 150,000,000 elephants into the same space that a sugar cube occupies.

 

It is probably no surprise that this extreme and exotic matter plays a key role in creating elements heavier than iron.

 

A irregularly shaped near spherical blue cloud with nodules extending from it

 

An illustration shows a cloud of material erupting from a collision of neutron stars (Image credit: NASA Goddard/CI Lab)

Neutron stars don't always live in isolation. Some of these dead stars occupy binary systems along with a companion living star. In rare instances, this companion star is also massive enough to create a neutron star, and it isn't "kicked away" by the supernova explosion that creates the first neutron star.

 

The result is a system with two neutron stars orbiting each other. These objects are so dense that as they swirl around each other, they generate ripples in spacetime (the four-dimensional unification of space and time) called gravitational waves that ripple through space, carrying away angular momentum.

 

As the system loses angular momentum, the orbit of the neutron stars tightens, meaning that the neutron stars move closer to each other. This results in gravitational waves rippling away faster and faster, carrying away more and more angular momentum.

 

This situation ends when neutron stars are close enough for their immense gravity to take over and drag these extremely dense dead stars together to collide and merge.

 

This collision sprays out neutron-rich matter with temperatures of many billions of degrees, thousands of times hotter than the sun. These temperatures are so hot that they are similar to those of the rapidly inflating universe just one second after the Big Bang.

 

An artist's depiction of colliding black holes causing ripples in the fabric of space-time.

 

An artist's depiction of colliding neutron stars sending out ripples in spacetime called gravitational waves. (Image credit: R. Hurt/Caltech-JPL)

Ejected particles like electrons and neutrons dance around the body, birthed by the colliding neutron stars, which rapidly collapse to form a black hole in a fog of plasma that cools over the next few days.

 

Atoms in this cooling cloud of plasma quickly grab free neutrons via what is called the rapid neutron capture process (r-process) and also ensnare free electrons. This creates very heavy but unstable particles that rapidly decay. This decay releases the light that astronomers see as kilonovas, but it also creates lighter elements that are still heavier than iron, like gold, silver and uranium.

 

This team saw the afterglow of particles being snatched to forge heavy elements like Strontium and Yttrium, reasoning that other heavy elements were undoubtedly created in the aftermath of this neutron star collision.

 

"The matter expands so fast and gains in size so rapidly, to the extent where it takes hours for the light to travel across the explosion," team member Kasper Heintz, a researcher at the Niels Bohr Institute, said. "This is why, just by observing the remote end of the fireball, we can see further back in the history of the explosion. Closer to us, the electrons have hooked to atomic nuclei, but on the other side, on the far side of the newborn black hole, the 'present' is still just the future."

 

Related Stories:

 —  A new approach might help scientists see inside a neutron star

 

— City-size neutron stars may actually be bigger than we thought

 

 —  The heaviest neutron star ever observed is shredding its companion

 

The team's results wouldn't have been possible without the collaboration of telescopes across the globe and beyond.

 

"This astrophysical explosion develops dramatically hour by hour, so no single telescope can follow its entire story. The viewing angle of the individual telescopes to the event is blocked by the rotation of the Earth," team leader and Neils Bohr Institute researcher Albert Sneppen said in the statement. "But by combining the existing measurements from Australia, South Africa, and the Hubble Space Telescope, we can follow its development in great detail."

 

The team's paper was published on Wednesday (Oct. 30) in the journal Astronomy & Astrophysics.

 

Join our Space Forums to keep talking space on the latest missions, night sky and more! And if you have a news tip, correction or comment, let us know at: community@space.com.

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November 16, 2024                 4611

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                                                                                                       

--------  Comments appreciated and Pass it on to whomever is interested. ---

---   Some reviews are at:  --------------     http://jdetrick.blogspot.com ----- 

--  email feedback, corrections, request for copies or Index of all reviews

---  to:  ------    jamesdetrick@comcast.net  ------  “Jim Detrick”  -----------

--------------------- ---  Tuesday, November 19, 2024  ---------------------------------

 

 

 

 

 

           

 

 

4613 - ASTEROID HITS EARTH ?

 

-  4613 -  ASTEROID  HITS  EARTH  ?  -    An asteroid hit the Earth just hours after being detected. It was the 3rd 'imminent impactor' of 2024.   A small asteroid burned up in Earth's atmosphere off the coast of California just hours after being discovered and before impact monitoring systems had registered its trajectory.


------------------------------------------------   4613  -  ASTEROID  HITS  EARTH  ?

-   October 2024, an asteroid impacted Earth's atmosphere just hours after being detected. Somehow, it managed to circumvent impact monitoring systems during its approach to our planet. However, on the bright side, the object measured just 3 feet in diameter and posed very little threat to anything on Earth's surface.

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-    This asteroid,  “2024 UQ”, was first discovered on October 22 by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) survey in Hawaii.  This is a network of four telescopes that scan the sky for moving objects that might be space rocks on a collision course with Earth. Two hours later, the asteroid burned up over the Pacific Ocean near California, making it an "imminent impactor."

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-   The small amount of time between detection and impact means impact monitoring systems, operated by the European Space Agency's Near-Earth Object Coordination Center, didn't receive tracking data about the incoming asteroid until after it struck Earth.

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-   ATLAS survey obtained images that included detections of a small object in a high-probability collision course. However, due to the location of the object near the edge of two adjacent fields, the candidate was recognized as a moving object only a few hours later.

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-    By the time the astrometry reached the impact monitoring systems, the impact had already happened.   The asteroid was the third imminent impactor detected this year. As for the two other asteroids that were been detected within hours of impacting Earth in 2024, the first is known as “2024 BX1”. It measured around 3.3 feet wide and burned up harmlessly over Berlin, Germany in January. The other, “2024 RW1”, exploded over the Philippines on September 4.

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-    Planetary defense efforts that aim to catalog the myriad of space rocks in our neck of the cosmic woods have become a major priority for space agencies worldwide. Aside from the ATLAS survey, Catalina Sky Survey, ESA's NEOCC and other projects like them, NASA is developing a new infrared telescope known as NEO Surveyor to hunt for potentially threatening near-Earth objects.

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-    But it's not all just about detection and tracking. Space agencies are testing methods of redirecting incoming asteroids should the need ever arise. In 2022, NASA's DART mission crashed an impactor into a double asteroid system in an attempt to change its trajectory (the endeavor was a success). China is also developing its own mission to deflect an asteroid by 2030.

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-    The Taurid Meteoroid Stream, which is possibly responsible for the famous Tunguska and Chelyabinsk impacts, probably doesn't hide a civilization-killing asteroid.  A swarm of interplanetary dust, rocks, comets and asteroids thought to be responsible for two famous impacts here on Earth has been found to be not quite as menacing as astronomers had feared.

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-    The risk of being hit by a large asteroid in the Taurid swarm is much lower than we believed, which is great news for planetary defense.

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-   The swarm in question is the “Taurid Meteoroid Complex”, which is a huge trail of debris that cuts across the path of Earth's orbit around the sun. It's responsible for several meteor showers, most notably the Southern Taurids that peak every year on November 5, and the Northern Taurids on November 12.

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-    Meteor showers are produced when swarms of tiny particles of dust, most just microns or millionths of a meter in size, burn up in the Earth's atmosphere. However, lurking among all the dust are larger chunks, from boulder-size rocks to full-blown asteroids. They all seem to come from a parent body, the short-period “Comet 2P/Encke”.

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-   Comet 2P/Encke was the second periodic comet to be discovered. And the first was Halley's Comet.   A short-period comet is one that regularly orbits the sun more often than once every 200 years. (Comets that take longer than 200 years to complete an orbit are called long-period comets, and originate from deep within the distant Oort Cloud.) In 2P/Encke's case, it orbits every 3.3 years, the shortest orbit of any known periodic comet.

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-    “Encke” is pretty big for a short-period comet, spanning about 3 miles in diameter. It's also joined on its orbit by dozens of other minor bodies.  The theory is that 2P/Encke and all its companions originated from a much larger body that fragmented as it came in from the outer solar system and got close to the heat of the sun.

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-    Estimates of when this occurred vary, from about 20,000 years ago to just 5,000 to 6,000 years ago, but the worry was that there may be kilometer-sized objects lurking in the Taurid Complex that we haven't discovered yet. Objects of this size could cause widespread damage were they to collide with our planet.

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-    However, having surveyed a wide swathe of sky around the Taurid Complex looking for any undiscovered objects there are fewer kilometer-sized objects in the Taurid Complex than had been thought.

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-   Fortunately, we found that it's likely there may only be a handful of asteroids, perhaps only nine to 14 of them, that fit this large size class in the swarm  The parent object that originally created the swarm was probably closer to 10 kilometers  in diameter rather than a massive 62 miles object.

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-    Some uncertainty does remain over the origin of the Taurid Complex, however. In 2014, astronomers using NASA's Infrared Telescope Facility on Mauna Kea, Hawaii, studied the spectra of many of the objects in the Taurid Complex and found a wide range of types, from stony S-type asteroids to carbon-rich C-types.

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-    This diversity called into question the idea that they'd all originated from a common parent body. However, a year later, a subsequent study that analyzed the spectra of 33 fireballs hailing from the Taurid Complex concluded that, despite the compositional variation, the fireballs all had spectral and physical characteristics consistent with having come from a comet that has broken apart.

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-   Regardless of their origin, and despite being linked to the last two destructive impacts on Earth, the 1908 Tunguska event and the 2013 Chelyabinsk airburst, it seems that the Taurid Complex does not harbor any hidden dangers. The objects that are present within the stream are on well-known orbits and do not currently pose a threat to Earth.

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-   We shouldn't get too comfortable.  We still need to be vigilant about asteroid impacts. But, we can probably sleep better knowing these results.

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November 18, 2024             ASTEROID  HITS  EARTH  ?                  4613

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                                                                                                       

--------  Comments appreciated and Pass it on to whomever is interested. ---

---   Some reviews are at:  --------------     http://jdetrick.blogspot.com ----- 

--  email feedback, corrections, request for copies or Index of all reviews

---  to:  ------    jamesdetrick@comcast.net  ------  “Jim Detrick”  -----------

--------------------- ---  Tuesday, November 19, 2024  ---------------------------------

 

 

 

 

 

           

 

 

Monday, November 18, 2024

4612 - WEBB FINDS BROWN DWARFS?

 

-  4612 -   WEBB  FINDS  BROWN  DWARFS?  -    James Webb telescope finds 1st possible 'failed stars' beyond the Milky Way that could reveal new secrets of the early universe.  The Space Telescope may have found dozens of elusive brown dwarfs which are strange objects larger than planets but smaller than stars  beyond the Milky Way.

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---------------------------------------   4612  -   WEBB  FINDS  BROWN  DWARFS?

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-    JWST  zooming in on the young star cluster “NGC 602” in the nearby Small Magellanic Cloud (SMC), spotted what may be the first evidence of brown dwarfs ever seen outside the Milky Way.   Brown dwarfs, or "failed stars," are peculiar objects that are bigger than the largest planets but not massive enough to sustain nuclear fusion like stars.

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-   The observations, which include a new image of the star cluster courtesy of JWST's Near Infrared Camera, reveal fresh insight into how these strange failed stars form.   Brown dwarfs seem to form in the same way as stars, they just don't capture enough mass to become a fully fledged star.

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-    NGC 602 is a roughly 3 million-year-old star-forming cluster on the outskirts of the SMC, a satellite galaxy of the Milky Way that contains roughly 3 billion stars. (Our galaxy, in comparison, contains an estimated 100 billion to 400 billion stars.) Orbiting about 200,000 light-years from Earth, the SMC is one of the Milky Way's closest intergalactic neighbors.

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-    Previous observations of NGC 602 taken with the Hubble Space Telescope revealed that the cluster hosts a population of young, low-mass stars.   Because of JWST's incredible sensitivity to infrared light, astronomers have fleshed out the picture of these stellar newborns, revealing precisely how much mass they have accumulated in their short lives.

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-   The results suggest that 64 stellar objects within the cluster have masses ranging between 50 and 84 times that of Jupiter. Brown dwarfs typically weigh between 13 and 75 Jupiter masses making many of these objects prime candidates to be the first brown dwarfs spotted beyond our galaxy.

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-   These failed stars appear to have formed in much the same way as stars like the sun: through the collapse of massive clouds of gas and dust. However, for a collapsed cloud to become a star, it must continue accumulating mass until it reaches an internal temperature and pressure high enough to trigger hydrogen fusion at its core combining hydrogen atoms into helium and releasing energy as light and heat in the process.

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-    Brown dwarfs never acquire enough mass to sustain permanent fusion, leaving them larger than a planet but smaller and dimmer than a star. This failure to ignite may be a common outcome in the universe: Astronomers have discovered about 3,000 brown dwarfs in the Milky Way but estimate that there may be as many as 100 billion in our galaxy alone, potentially making them as common as stars themselves.

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-    NGC 602 is a young cluster containing low abundances of elements heavier than hydrogen and helium, so its composition is thought to be very similar to that of the ancient universe, before later generations of stars peppered with the panoply of elements we see near Earth.

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-    By studying the young metal-poor brown dwarfs newly discovered in NGC 602, we are getting closer to unlocking the secrets of how stars and planets formed in the harsh conditions of the early Universe.

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November 18, 2024       WEBB  FINDS  BROWN  DWARFS?           4612

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                                                                                                       

--------  Comments appreciated and Pass it on to whomever is interested. ---

---   Some reviews are at:  --------------     http://jdetrick.blogspot.com ----- 

--  email feedback, corrections, request for copies or Index of all reviews

---  to:  ------    jamesdetrick@comcast.net  ------  “Jim Detrick”  -----------

--------------------- ---  Monday, November 18, 2024  ---------------------------------

 

 

 

 

 

           

 

 

Sunday, November 17, 2024

4610 - LIFE ON PLANETS - what are the odds?

 

-  4610 - LIFE  ON  PLANETS  -  what are the odds?   -   A new model calculates chances of intelligent beings in our universe and beyond.  The chances of intelligent life emerging in our universe, and in any hypothetical ones beyond it, can be estimated by a new theoretical model which has echoes of the famous “Drake Equation.

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--------------------------------------   4610  -  LIFE  ON  PLANETS  -  what are the odds?

-

-    This was the formula that American astronomer Dr. Frank Drake came up with in the 1960s to calculate the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our Milky Way galaxy.  More than 60 years later, astrophysicists led by Durham University have produced a different model which instead focuses on the conditions created by the acceleration of the universe's expansion and the amount of stars formed.

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-    It is thought this expansion is being driven by a mysterious force called “dark energy” that makes up more than two thirds of the universe.

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-    Since stars are a precondition for the emergence of life as we know it, the model could therefore be used to estimate the probability of generating intelligent life in our universe, and in a multiverse scenario of different hypothetical universes.

-

-    The new research does not attempt to calculate the absolute number of observers (i.e. intelligent life) in the universe but instead considers the relative probability of a randomly chosen observer inhabiting a universe with particular properties.

-

-    The study concludes that a typical observer would expect to experience a substantially larger density of dark energy than is seen in our own universe, suggesting the ingredients it possesses make it a rare and unusual case in the multiverse.

-

-   The approach presented in the paper involves calculating the fraction of ordinary matter converted into stars over the entire history of the universe, for different dark energy densities.  The model predicts this fraction would be approximately 27% in a universe that is most efficient at forming stars, compared to 23% in our own universe.

-

-    This means we don't live in the hypothetical universe with the highest odds of forming intelligent life forms.   The value of dark energy density we observe in our universe is not the one that would maximize the chances of life, according to the model.

-

-    Understanding dark energy and the impact on our universe is one of the biggest challenges in cosmology and fundamental physics.   The parameters that govern our universe, including the density of dark energy, could explain our own existence.     Even a significantly higher dark energy density would still be compatible with life, suggesting we may not live in the most likely of universes.

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-   The new model could allow scientists to understand the effects of differing densities of dark energy on the formation of structures in the universe and the conditions for life to develop in the cosmos.  Dark energy makes the universe expand faster, balancing gravity's pull and creating a universe where both expansion and structure formation are possible.

-

-   However, for life to develop, there would need to be regions where matter can clump together to form stars and planets, and it would need to remain stable for billions of years to allow life to evolve.

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-   Star formation and the evolution of the large-scale structure of the universe combine in a subtle way to determine the optimal value of the dark energy density needed for the generation of intelligent life.

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-    They plan to employ the model to explore the emergence of life across different universes and see whether some fundamental questions we ask ourselves about our own universe must be reinterpreted.  Dr. Drake's equation was more of a guide for scientists on how to go about searching for life, rather than an estimating tool or serious attempt to determine an accurate result.

-

-    Its parameters included the rate of yearly star formation in the Milky Way, the fraction of stars with planets orbiting them and the number of worlds that could potentially support life.  By comparison, the new model connects the rate of yearly star formation in the universe with its fundamental ingredients, such as the dark energy density.

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November 15, 2024         LIFE  ON  PLANETS  -  what are the odds?               4610

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                                                                                                        

--------  Comments appreciated and Pass it on to whomever is interested. ---

---   Some reviews are at:  --------------     http://jdetrick.blogspot.com ----- 

--  email feedback, corrections, request for copies or Index of all reviews

---  to:  ------    jamesdetrick@comcast.net  ------  “Jim Detrick”  -----------

--------------------- ---  Sunday, November 17, 2024  ---------------------------------

 

 

 

 

 

           

 

 

Friday, November 15, 2024

4609 - ASTEROID - hits the Earth? -

 

-  4609 -  ASTEROID  -   hits the Earth?  -   An asteroid hit Earth just hours after being detected. It was the 3rd 'imminent impactor' of 2024.   A small asteroid burned up in Earth's atmosphere off the coast of California just hours after being discovered and before impact monitoring systems had registered its trajectory.


------------------------------------------   4609  -  ASTEROID  -   hits the Earth?

-

-    October 2024, an asteroid impacted Earth's atmosphere just hours after being detected, somehow, it managed to circumvent impact monitoring systems during its approach to our planet. However, on the bright side, the object measured just 3 feet in diameter and posed very little threat to anything on Earth's surface.

-

-    This asteroid, designated “2024 UQ”, was first discovered on October, 22 by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) survey in Hawaii, a network of four telescopes that scan the sky for moving objects that might be space rocks on a collision course with Earth. Two hours later, the asteroid burned up over the Pacific Ocean near California, making it an "imminent impactor."

-

-    The small amount of time between detection and impact means impact monitoring systems, operated by the European Space Agency's Near-Earth Object Coordination Center, didn't receive tracking data about the incoming asteroid until after it struck Earth.

-

-    ATLAS survey obtained images that included detections of a small object in a high-probability collision course. However, due to the location of the object near the edge of two adjacent fields, the candidate was recognized as a moving object only a few hours later.

-

-    By the time the astrometry reached the impact monitoring systems, the impact had already happened.    ESA's NEO Coordination Center (NEOCC) says flashes were detected by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's GOES weather satellites and the Catalina Sky Survey, a NASA project that uses a series of telescopes to search for asteroids and comets in our celestial neighborhood. These flashes were enough to confirm asteroid 2024 UQ's impact as well as its trajectory.

-

-    According to ESA, the asteroid was the third imminent impactor detected this year. As for the two other asteroids that were been detected within hours of impacting Earth in 2024, the first is known as 2024 BX1. It measured around 3.3 feet wide and burned up harmlessly over Berlin, Germany in January. The other, 2024 RW1, exploded over the Philippines on Sept. 4.

-

-    NASA is developing a new infrared telescope known as NEO Surveyor to hunt for potentially threatening near-Earth objects.   But it's not all just about detection and tracking. Space agencies are testing methods of redirecting incoming asteroids should the need ever arise.

-

-     In 2022, NASA's DART mission crashed an impactor into a double asteroid system in an attempt to change its trajectory (the endeavor was a success). China is also developing its own mission to deflect an asteroid by 2030.

-

-    The Taurid Meteoroid Stream, which is possibly responsible for the famous Tunguska and Chelyabinsk impacts, probably doesn't hide a civilization-killing asteroid.

-

-    A swarm of interplanetary dust, rocks, comets and asteroids thought to be responsible for two famous impacts here on Earth has been found to be not quite as menacing as astronomers had feared.

-

-   The risk of being hit by a large asteroid in the Taurid swarm is much lower than we believed, which is great news for planetary defense.

-

-    The swarm in question is the Taurid Meteoroid Complex, which is a huge trail of debris that cuts across the path of Earth's orbit around the sun. It's responsible for several meteor showers, most notably the Southern Taurids that peak every year on November 5, and the Northern Taurids on Noember. 12.

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-     Meteor showers are produced when swarms of tiny particles of dust, most just microns, millionths of a meter, in size, burn up in the Earth's atmosphere. However, lurking among all the dust are larger chunks, from boulder-size rocks to full-blown asteroids. They all seem to come from a parent body, the short-period Comet 2P/Encke.

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-    Comet 2P/Encke was the second periodic comet to be discovered. And the first,  Halley's Comet. A short-period comet is one that regularly orbits the sun more often than once every 200 years. (Comets that take longer than 200 years to complete an orbit are called long-period comets, and originate from deep within the distant Oort Cloud.) In 2P/Encke's case, it orbits every 3.3 years, the shortest orbit of any known periodic comet.

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-    Encke is pretty big for a short-period comet, spanning about 3 miles in diameter. It's also joined on its orbit by dozens of other minor bodies.    The theory is that “2P/Encke? and all its companions originated from a much larger body that fragmented as it came in from the outer solar system and got close to the heat of the sun.

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-    Estimates of when this occurred vary, from about 20,000 years ago to just 5,000 to 6,000 years ago, but the worry was that there may be kilometer-sized objects lurking in the Taurid Complex that we haven't discovered yet. Objects of this size could cause widespread damage were they to collide with our planet.

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-    Fortunately, we found that it's likely there may only be a handful of asteroids, perhaps only nine to 14 of them, that fit this large size class in the swarm.   The parent object that originally created the swarm was probably closer to 6.2 miles in diameter rather than a massive 62 miles object

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-    Some uncertainty does remain over the origin of the Taurid Complex. In 2014, astronomers using NASA's Infrared Telescope Facility on Mauna Kea, Hawaii, studied the spectra of many of the objects in the Taurid Complex and found a wide range of types, from stony S-type asteroids to carbon-rich C-types.

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-    This diversity called into question the idea that they'd all originated from a common parent body. However, a year later, a subsequent study that analyzed the spectra of 33 fireballs hailing from the Taurid Complex concluded that, despite the compositional variation, the fireballs all had spectral and physical characteristics consistent with having come from a comet that has broken apart.

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-    Regardless of their origin, and despite being linked to the last two destructive impacts on Earth, the 1908 Tunguska event and the 2013 Chelyabinsk airburst,  it seems that the Taurid Complex does not harbor any hidden dangers. The objects that are present within the stream are on well-known orbits and do not currently pose a threat to Earth.

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November 14, 2024           ASTEROID  -   hits the Earth?                   4609

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--------  Comments appreciated and Pass it on to whomever is interested. ---

---   Some reviews are at:  --------------     http://jdetrick.blogspot.com ----- 

--  email feedback, corrections, request for copies or Index of all reviews

---  to:  ------    jamesdetrick@comcast.net  ------  “Jim Detrick”  -----------

--------------------- ---  Friday, November 15, 2024  ---------------------------------

 

 

 

 

 

           

 

 

4608 - MOON - how far away?

 

-  4608  -  MOON  -   how far away?  -    This may seem like a question with a simple answer: How far away is the moon? But the distance between Earth and our closest neighbor is not a single number.   The commonly quoted average distance of 384,400 kilometers, or 238,855 miles, is a good approximation.    However, the moon's orbit around the Earth is elliptical, so its distance from Earth varies.


---------------------------------------------   4608  -  MOON  -   how far away?

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-    That distance ranges from roughly 221,500 miles (356,470 km) away at its closest point to Earth, called perigee, to 252,000 miles (405,600 km) away at its farthest point, called apogee.

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-   The distance at apogee is so great, the solar system's seven other planets (Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune) could fit between Earth and the moon. This thought experiment works if the average diameters of the planets are added together, which equals 236,100 miles (380,016 km).

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-   We can thank the Apollo astronauts for the accuracy of these measurements.  Using reflectors left on the lunar surface in the 1960s and '70s, scientists today can shine high-powered lasers at the moon and measure their reflection speed to determine the satellite's distance from Earth.

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-     The moon shines 30% brighter, and appears 14% larger in diameter, during perigee than when it's at apogee.    These changes are sometimes referred to as a 'supermoon' when the Moon is closest and as a 'micromoon' when it is furthest away. Both the moon's distance and its phases follow the same roughly 27-day lunar cycle, they are not directly related.

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-   The fourth and final "supermoon" of 2024 will be 100% illuminated on Friday, November  15, 2024,   but the best time to see it from North America will be as it rises in the east on Novemver 16.

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-   November's full moon is typically called the “Beaver Moon” for the beavers that typically build their winter dams this time of year in the northeastern U.S. It's also called the Frost Moon and the Snow Moon in North America because the continent is on the verge of winter and the colder temperatures that come with it.

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-    This year's Beaver Moon is the final of four supermoons in 2024, following August's Sturgeon Moon, September's Harvest Moon and October's Hunter's Moon. A supermoon is a consequence of the moon's elliptical orbit, which means the moon reaches its closest point to Earth, known as perigee, at a slightly different time every month. When a full moon comes within 90% of perigee, it's a supermoon.

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-    A full moon is best observed as it rises in the east in early twilight, shortly after the sun has set in the west. That doesn't quite happen on Nov. 15 in North America, where the full moon rises significantly before sunset. So the best time to see the supermoon will be at moonrise on Saturday (Nov. 16), which will be about 20 to 30 minutes after sunset across the continent.

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-   If you look at the Beaver Moon on the night of Nov. 15, the sparkling Pleiades open star cluster, also known as the "Seven Sisters," will be to its lower left. On Nov. 16, the Pleiades will be to the moon's upper right.

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-    In most cases, the average distance between Earth and the moon is accurate enough for the general public. However, some cases such as planning a mission to orbit or land a spacecraft on the moon, require a more precise measurement. Luckily for lunar researchers, these considerations are much less daunting than for missions to Mars, which has a distance variation of 35 million miles compared with the moon's roughly 31,000 miles.

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-    The variation in distance between perigee and apogee can affect travel time by a small margin. But, other factors, like trajectory, landing site conditions, and solar illumination, tend to be more important considerations for Moon missions.

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-    Early in lunar history the Moon was much closer but it has been slowly drifting from the Earth for over 4 billion years.   We're fortunate to be around at this time where the Moon is at its current range in distances since we can get those magical moments where the Moon blocks the Sun and we get total solar eclipses.

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-   The largest and oldest-known impact site on the moon is the South Pole-Aitken basin. Scientists have dated the basin to the period between 4.32 and 4.33 billion years ago.   For billions of years, our celestial neighbor has been absolutely bombarded by asteroids and comets, and the assault has left behind a heavily pockmarked lunar surface.

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-    A research team led by scientists at the University of Manchester determined the age of the basin by analyzing a lunar meteorite known as Northwest Africa 2995. The meteorite, which was found in Algeria in 2005, contained uranium and lead that was dated to this period.

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-    For several decades there has been general agreement that the most intense period of impact bombardment was concentrated between 4.2–3.8 billion years ago, in the first half a billion years of the moon's history.   But now, constraining the age of the South-Pole Aitken basin to 120 million years earlier weakens the argument for this narrow period of impact bombardment on the moon and instead indicates there was a more gradual process of impacts over a longer period.

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-   This has implications for Earth's early history, too.   We know that the Earth and the Moon likely experienced similar impacts during their early history, but rock records from the Earth have been lost.   We can use what we have learnt about the moon to provide us with clues about the conditions on Earth during the same period of time.

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November 14, 2024             4608  -  MOON  -   how far away?              4608

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                                                                                                       

--------  Comments appreciated and Pass it on to whomever is interested. ---

---   Some reviews are at:  --------------     http://jdetrick.blogspot.com ----- 

--  email feedback, corrections, request for copies or Index of all reviews

---  to:  ------    jamesdetrick@comcast.net  ------  “Jim Detrick”  -----------

--------------------- ---  Friday, November 15, 2024  ---------------------------------