- Is Global Warming real? Yes it is real. It has occurred and reoccurred over 1000’s of years. Just as the ice ages are real. Is Global Warming recently caused by human technology and activity? Yes, to some degree but likely overwhelmed by other activities continually occurring in nature. Just as sunspots change the Sun’s intensity. An El Nino’s in the ocean changes the climate in the Northern Hemisphere. Is the extremist’s actions to mandate changes in human activity doing things right? No, it is not. It is likely having the opposite effect which takes longer to undo.
- You always have 2 decisions to make, what and how, doing the right things and doing things right. So many actions responding to Global Warming are doing the right things. However, you can ruin the efforts by not doing things right. Removing individual freedoms with mandates and interfering with the free- market system is not doing things right. Providing incentives, education, facilitating, making it easier for the right free market decisions to be made is doing things right.
- Climatologists use data from tree rings, coral growth bands, and ice cores to calculate ancient temperatures. The thickness of the tree rings is a function of the warmth of the growing period and the wetness of the season. They plot the averages temperatures of the Northern Hemisphere back in time, 1000 years. 1000 years ago was the Medieval Warm Period. 100 to 300 years ago was the ice ages The last 150 years is the rapidly rising temperatures that are called “ Global Warming”. The debate is if this “hockey stick” appearance on the graph in the last 150 years is caused solely by human activity?
- Certainly the evidence of increased levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is a sign of human activity. And, carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas that does cause global warming. Water vapor is an even greater cause of global warming. The glacier ice is retreating. The sea levels are rising. Like predicting the weather the science is not perfectly certain enough to identify the exact cause or causes of these occurrences or to predict the exact results.
- Scientist today must take responsibility for ensuring their science is communicated accurately. You just can’t turn it over to the media and expect an accurate publication to be produced. Today’s media is biased. Today’s media often has an agenda. Scientists can not trust that the impact of their work will percolate honestly and productively into the public discourse. Just as the public does not trust the media today the public will not trust the science.
- Human activity taking action to reduce carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is not unlike taking action against the use of tobacco that is causing cancer, or, the use of chlorofluorocarbons that are causing ozone depletion in the upper atmosphere. It takes time to educate the public with honesty. If you do not do the right things it takes more time and more perseverance to overcome the dishonesty.
- Politics by its very nature is biased. When it is overdone politics plays a dishonest role in the end justifying the means. Politicians saying one thing and doing another. Politicians always manipulating communications to pursue a predetermined agenda. Politics manipulating rather than educating. In many ways politics is the opposite of science.
- Don’t let politics creep into science. In fact, take responsibility for politics and publications to assure they do not misrepresent science. Dishonest science sets doing the right things back even further. An announcement will be made shortly, stay tuned.
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For further reading see reviews: #909, 908, 788 The history of climate change
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707-536-3272, Sunday, February 26, 2012
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